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Ellen Lucast's avatar

In another religious comparison, the practice of prompt engineering for LLMs is like being a priest. The LLM is like a god in the sense that it has enormous power and can't be controlled to do what we want on command, but maybe if we talk to it in juuuuuust the right way, we can coax the behavior we want out of it. That's less about displacing a sense of awe from the divine to an artificial system that you're talking about here and more just about trying to reign in the forces of nature, but the theme is similar.

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Claire Hartnell's avatar

God is a blind watchmaker or God doesn’t play dice? This debate over AGI is the debate over determinism & randomness. It is Apollo vs Dionysius. Or Taleb vs Tetlock if you will. I would have thought the 2nd law of TD would settle the thing but apparently not. These little babies, bathing in QE, have been cooking with the oven door open & have baked a cake that is nowhere near as tasty as what we had before. But thanks to loose money/energy, they’ve conjured up a vision of a perfect ultra future society (TM) where all seeing knowledge & predictability, not belief, can apparently solve everything. But like all entitled Westerners, they can only see a world in one dimension, at one scale, in one space - so they fail to understand the implication of their dream. If everything were computable / predictable, there would be a crazy war games like scenario of the world making itself afresh across time & space as the intelligence seeks to CHANGE stuff. This can only accelerate - & will do so far beyond human scale - as gazillions of possible outcomes are predicted/tweaked/predicted etc Over time, the tweaks will lead to (ever faster) transition shifts & chaotic behaviour. There will be cascades of change. Humans won’t survive the first 10 seconds of all this but, extend the thought out & it’s possible to imagine the cascade filling the universe. And what are we left with if all this thermodynamic ‘work’ actually happens? Heat. Random energy. Collapse. So long before we could wreck other planets with our perfect ultra future society (TM) God would fight back & take us back to where we began.

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